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Sonntag, 6. November 2016
Venezuela oil warrants (Value Recovery Rights) For over 10 years, Venezuela has been reliably making the $3 oil warrant payment every six months.
Venezuela oil warrants (Value Recovery Rights)
For over 10 years, Venezuela has been reliably making the $3 oil warrant payment every
six months. When Venezuela issued Brady bonds in 1990 in exchange for defaulted debt
from the 1980s, detachable oil warrants, called Value Recovery Rights (VRRs) were
included in the package. Although Venezuela has retired the bonds, some VRRs remain
outstanding. They are not very liquid. They give the holder the right to a maximum of $3
twice a year if the average oil price exceeds a threshold, one that was established to
grow with US CPI from a base year around the issue date. The strike price is now in the
mid $30s. The price of Venezuelan oil dropped below $30 in December 2016 and in early
February is around $28 (CRVZVZBK in Bloomberg). Since the payment amount
is based on the 12-month moving average, the price is barely in the money, or still
above the threshold, but soon will not be if oil prices remain low.
In 2004, shortly after a PDVSA strike, production plummeted, and the payment was
delayed by four months due to an inability to make a timely calculation of the average
price. Since then, oil prices rose far above the strike price, and for over 10 years,
Venezuela has been reliably making the $3 oil warrant payment every six months. Nearly
all of the warrants are closely held at this point and trade infrequently and by
appointment.
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