Restructuring talks are slow
The MoF held consultations with bondholders for a month till now at a
significantly slower pace than Ukraine Finance Minister Natalie Jaresko
anticipated,
the WSJ reported. She warned investors that long negotiations
could face them with new risks of an economic amidst a deterioration or war
escalation.
Investment implications: Ukraine needs to restructure debt prior the
EFF revision in June. These warnings are mostly psychological
messages to investors more as a strategic step. While the MoF does
not include a principal revision in the state-owned bank Eurobond
restructuring, they will maintain a principal haircut and cost decrease
for sovereign debt. The situation looks like the main talks will be on
these positions. Prices of Ukrainian Eurobonds should remain at about
45 without significant movements yesterday, reflecting the pause in
talks and exchange of letters. Today’s presentation should clarify the
situation and slightly quicken negotiations.
Taras Kotovych, Kiev, +38044 2200120 ext.724
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