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Sonntag, 2. August 2015

Did We Just Hit The Threshold For Short Covering In Gold?

Did We Just Hit The Threshold For Short Covering In Gold?

Tyler Durden's picture




 
Two weeks ago we noted something that has never happened before in gold - hedge funds, according to CFTC, had a net short position for the first in history. The past week saw a very surprising negligible shift of just 11 contracts as the short position shrank to 11,334 contracts. However, the aggregate net long position has dropped to a level that in the past has represented a threshold for signficant short-covering (21% and 17% rallies respectively). So with hedgies as short as they have ever been in history and aggregate positioning at a historically crucial level, one wonders if gold is due for a bounce...

Hedgies remain the most short they have ever been in gold...


This is what happened the last time gold saw a 'low' net long position...

and now, the aggregate net position in gold futures appears to have hit a threshold that in the past has created a significant short-covering rally...

The last 2 times aggregate net long positions were this low, gold rallied 21% and 17%...
Did we just reach that short-covering threshold once again?

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