“There’s a man going round, taking names. And he decides who to free and
who to blame. Everybody won’t be treated all the same.”
- Johnny Cash,
“The Man Comes Around”1
Venezuela’s Restructuring: A Realistic Framework
Mark A. Walker & Richard J. Cooper2
September 19, 2017
Abstract
Venezuela is confronting an economic and financial crisis of unprecedented
proportions. Its economy remains on a precipitous downward trajectory, national
income has more than halved, imports have collapsed, hyperinflation is about to
set in and the government continues to follow a policy of prioritizing the payment
of external debt over imports of food, medicine and inputs needed to allow
production to resume. Bad policies are complemented by bad news as oil
production and prices have declined dramatically from previous highs. On the
financial side, the country is burdened with an unsustainable level of debt and has
lost market access. Venezuela will be unable to attract the substantial new
financing and investment required to reform its economy without a comprehensive
restructuring of its external liabilities.
The Republic and its national oil company, PDVSA, are facing what may be the
most complex and challenging sovereign debt restructuring to date. This paper,
authored by Mark A. Walker, Managing Director and Head of Sovereign
Advisory at Millstein & Co., and Richard J. Cooper, a Senior Partner in the
Restructuring Group at Cleary Gottlieb Steen & Hamilton, LLP, proposes a
framework for restructuring and discusses the key issues that will arise during the
restructuring process, including the vulnerability of PDVSA assets outside
Venezuela to actions by creditors, whether the restructuring should be
implemented in one or two steps, the use of nontraditional techniques to seek to
address sovereign and quasi-sovereign debt, incentives to and disincentives that
may persuade would-be holdout creditors to join a restructuring and the
admissibility and treatment of various claims.
1
Music by Huddie Ledbetter (1888-1949), musician, songwriter and murderer—rerecorded with new lyrics and
again popularized by Johnny Cash. 2 Mark A. Walker is a Managing Director and Head of Sovereign Advisory at Millstein & Co. Richard J. Cooper
is a Senior Restructuring Partner at Cleary Gottlieb Steen & Hamilton LLP. The view expressed herein are
those of the authors and not necessarily those of Millstein & Co. or Cleary Gottlieb Steen & Hamilton LLP.
This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be, and should not be taken as, legal
advice. The authors wish to thank Luke A. Barefoot, Alice Chong, Ashley Winston, Sean Sakaguchi, Philip A.
Cantwell and Matthew J. Livingston for their assistance in preparing this article
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