OSI seen as
last chance Greece has in eurozone
Debt haircut of 70-100 bln euros is possible
By Costas Karkayiannis
Greece’s European partners are contemplating a fresh restructuring of the
country’s debt so as to bring it down to 70-100 billion euros and contain it
close to 100 percent of the gross domestic product, according to a Reuters
report on Friday.
Citing anonymous European officials, the report says the most likely scenario
is for a haircut on the bonds held by the European Central Bank, the national
central banks and possibly the eurozone states.
European officials believe that a second debt restructuring, which would now
be a case of official sector involvement (OSI), is the last chance for Greece to
remain in the eurozone. The ECB refused to comment on the report.
The aim of the new restructuring is to cut Greece’s debt by 30 percent, or
70-100 billion euros, as it is now becoming generally accepted that the first
restructuring in March, which only involved the private sector, was not
sufficient and that the recession of the Greek economy combined with the
derailment of the Greek bailout program in recent months have rendered the
achievement of the targets impossible.
There have been growing rumors over the last few weeks according to which the
International Monetary Fund would no longer be willing to continue funding the
Greek program unless the country’s debt becomes sustainable again.
With Reuters reporting that the cost of the second restructuring will be
borne by the ECB and the 17 national central banks, a number of them including
the ECB will also require recapitalization themselves.
Discussions and planning are only at an early stage, Reuters reported, but an
anonymous European official involved in the talks said, “If I had to say what
the chances are of an official sector involvement in Greece, I would say 70
percent.”
Another official said: “Our biggest mistake was that we did not manage to
haircut the Greek bonds held by national central banks. That was really, really
stupid.” |
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